When we all start hearing things about the economy that we never heard of before … nay, when we all start actually paying attention to the economy … you know something must be really wrong.
And try as they might, economists, business leaders, regulators, politicians and business journalists don’t seem to be helping much. I mean, c’mon, do you know what’s going on right now? More important, do you have any clue at all what’s going to happen tomorrow?
Let’s look at just some highlights of the craziness:
Yesterday, people actually bought 3-month Treasury bills — considered one of the safest short-duration investments because they’re backed by the government — that had negative yield. First time since 1940. That means in 3-months time, you get back less than you loaned the government. Nice to see people helping out in this way, as obviously the Feds need that money because …
The Feds just pumped another $180 billion into the markets today (on top of how much in socialistic bailouts and other unfathomably costly measures lately?). That seemed to ease some jitters for the moment. But these dollar figures are getting to sound pretty meaningless to most of us, aren’t they? And where does that money come from (besides the selling of T-bills). Best I can figure, they just print more and the national debt goes up…
The U.S. national debt, as of 1:11 p.m. ET today, was $9,643,005,101,724.49. I think that’s trillions, for whatever perspective that might provide. Given the current population of 304,751,034 at this moment, each citizen’s share is $31,642.24. You have that under your mattress, right? I mean, it’s somewhere, right? Because soon you’ll need a bunch more. 11 minutes later, the total debt had risen by about $35,000. Anyway …
Find someone who really understands all this and you probably have someone who is very, very rich and did not just destroy his huge company. Which brings us to …
The Forbes 400 richest list just came out. These 400 people collectively have a net worth of $1.57 trillion. Maybe they could lend a hand? (Though even if they all liquidated everything, they could not pay off our national debt.) And anyway, who would buy all their stuff? Maybe the Feds …
If you haven’t already, check out our Clara Moskowitz’s account of how the current debacle stacks up to history, and what several economists think about our collective economic future. The range, and they might actually be right this time, is from pretty bleak to really bleak, with some hope that in a few years it’ll get better.
Why is all this on a science Web site? In part because we wanted to take a look at just how inexact the science of economics is. As one glaring example of how little the experts know (and therefore why you should be careful whose rosy pronouncements you trust): consumers, collectively, can predict inflation as accurately as economists.
I have no worthy advice for what you should do with your money, other than to suggest you might as well just use a crystal ball to help you decide.












